Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.001006 0.001147 0.001290 0.001442 0.001602 0.001762 0.001936
2025-12-21 0.000812 0.001018 0.001232 0.001467 0.001718 0.001975 0.002258
2025-12-28 0.000619 0.000867 0.001133 0.001434 0.001761 0.002103 0.002483
2026-01-04 0.000484 0.000764 0.001075 0.001436 0.001835 0.002257 0.002731
2026-01-11 0.000363 0.000663 0.001009 0.001421 0.001884 0.002380 0.002942
2026-01-18 0.000265 0.000576 0.000952 0.001410 0.001933 0.002497 0.003143
2026-01-25 0.000161 0.000464 0.000856 0.001347 0.001917 0.002540 0.003259
2026-02-01 0.000095 0.000390 0.000797 0.001321 0.001940 0.002623 0.003415
2026-02-08 0.000053 0.000340 0.000764 0.001324 0.001992 0.002735 0.003602
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000301 0.000743 0.001337 0.002055 0.002858 0.003799
2026-02-22 0.000009 0.000273 0.000732 0.001362 0.002130 0.002992 0.004006
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000231 0.000697 0.001355 0.002164 0.003079 0.004159
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000166 0.000632 0.001321 0.002184 0.003171 0.004341
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000134 0.000615 0.001348 0.002280 0.003350 0.004625
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000085 0.000557 0.001319 0.002305 0.003448 0.004817
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000055 0.000525 0.001323 0.002369 0.003591 0.005060
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000027 0.000483 0.001309 0.002411 0.003706 0.005270
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000008 0.000446 0.001299 0.002454 0.003822 0.005480
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000378 0.001238 0.002430 0.003856 0.005595
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000337 0.001214 0.002452 0.003943 0.005768
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000315 0.001216 0.002506 0.004067 0.005984
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000301 0.001229 0.002574 0.004207 0.006216
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001254 0.002654 0.004362 0.006465